Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.754222 11.936756 13.209050 14.681936 16.342874 18.161059 20.306375
2025-08-31 8.863472 10.460296 12.300873 14.588390 17.367666 20.650649 24.845460
2025-09-07 7.686691 9.563808 11.860854 14.900164 18.847925 23.845653 30.720711
2025-09-14 6.611442 8.607015 11.178336 14.772070 19.724751 26.397748 36.218428
2025-09-21 5.711073 7.732214 10.456219 14.451701 20.256892 28.531731 41.488203
2025-09-28 5.059511 7.094406 9.950000 14.326301 21.001004 31.026469 47.667620
2025-10-05 4.701585 6.814968 9.896925 14.823523 22.700147 35.154854 57.065015
2025-10-12 4.384185 6.549595 9.820308 15.255958 24.336434 39.406536 67.428373
2025-10-19 4.035569 6.192197 9.553086 15.337030 25.391255 42.832611 76.971541
2025-10-26 3.692095 5.802582 9.185390 15.194265 26.026080 45.599463 85.790644
2025-11-02 3.382030 5.433039 8.806469 14.976544 26.481740 48.084520 94.505023
2025-11-09 3.101855 5.084296 8.423467 14.698914 26.776487 50.287864 103.041789
2025-11-16 2.862801 4.788375 8.110519 14.528288 27.285230 53.059815 113.551401
2025-11-23 2.666051 4.547821 7.871217 14.467193 28.003352 56.383456 126.070985
2025-11-30 2.543584 4.427716 7.836734 14.795508 29.561576 61.754588 144.714168
2025-12-07 2.375194 4.207958 7.594616 14.680109 30.164923 65.118906 159.184944
2025-12-14 2.200336 3.960548 7.275735 14.368889 30.294501 67.414049 171.421644
2025-12-21 2.064928 3.776047 7.060711 14.248437 30.832147 70.765372 187.386640
2025-12-28 2.007475 3.737041 7.129400 14.745207 32.873260 78.196118 217.097465
2026-01-04 1.946608 3.685583 7.167038 15.176687 34.823832 85.769520 249.472421
2026-01-11 1.856923 3.568310 7.056819 15.258274 35.920440 91.276730 276.933170
2026-01-18 1.754668 3.416968 6.860759 15.116929 36.427699 95.252281 300.491818
2026-01-25 1.654423 3.262061 6.643538 14.900811 36.708963 98.641185 323.073663